Normally when I write a blog I discuss a particular topic: the Egyptian Museum, Israeli restaurants, a trip I recently took… This one is going to be a bit different. I haven’t written a blog in a while, and much has happened. Egypt has overthrown its longtime leader, Hosni Mubarak, and much of the Middle East is in a similar state of upheaval. Israel remains secure, but what will happen with the new neighbors?
I have no idea. I only know that history repeats itself, and revolutions have a sneaky way of ending very differently than they began. What started as a call for freedom often ends up with one individual, or a group of individuals, consolidating power and suppressing the people as bad, or worse, than the group against which everyone originally revolted. Not always, but it’s happened enough that the risk should be evaluated.
Those that brush off the risk of extremists like the Muslim Brotherhood taking power, naively facebooking that Egypt is now free and democratic as though the storm has passed, have not fully evaluated the situation. The country is being run by the military and the constitution is suspended. I believe there will be free elections in the fall, but who’s to say who will win, and how that will affect future policies? I believe groups like the Brotherhood will have a very successful election year, for they are the most organized and the most likely to receive worldwide funding from extremist groups.
Do you honestly believe that those who hate the West and wish to see Sharia law implemented will not do everything they can to control Egypt, one of the richest, largest, and most strategically positioned countries in the Middle East?